Swansea Property News, January 2017


Happy New Year, and welcome to this month's Swansea Property News!

With rents soaring and the demand for rental properties increasing, 2017 seems to be getting off to a relatively good start for landlords in Swansea. I hope you enjoy our new Swansea focused newsletter, and I look forward to a more positive year ahead.

- Hannah McCartan, Managing Director of McCartan Lettings


Rents soar in Swansea

According to the latest Rightmove statistics, rents in Swansea rose by 11.4% in 2016 - the highest annual rise in rents across the whole of the UK (outside London).

 

 

Hannah McCartan, Director of McCartan Lettings, comments, 'This is great news for our landlords who have been waiting a long time for rents to be reflective of the rest of the UK. It's taken a while for the London Effect to get here, and I think what happened last year was a correction in rents to reflect demand.

 

We have certainly seen rents rocket over the past year - a two bedroom house in Brynmill let for &750pcm in 2016, a 20% increase from the year before.

 

Demand for quality accommodation is at an all time high in Swansea. Professionals who can't get on the property ladder, or have transient work commitments (such as doctors), or even who aren't looking to buy in Swansea, are instead looking to rent. At the same time, landlords are being put off expanding their portfolios by things like stamp duty hikes and Brexit uncertainty, and some are even looking to sell their properties, causing a massive supply and demand issue, which in turn causes rents to rise.

 

Areas of Swansea of particular interest for tenants are Uplands, Brynmill, and Sketty. Not only are they close to the city centre, hospital and university, but have become popular with new wine bars and restaurants, too. 

 

Landlords should be excited further by the latest positive move towards the tidal lagoon, which could generate hundreds of job opportunities and lead to an increase in demand for accommodation towards the east of the city. It's definitely one to keep an eye on for in the future.

 

Overall, we at McCartan Lettings are looking forward to a really positive year in 2017, with many opportunities on the horizon, promising to make Swansea an even better place to live, work and play.'

 

If you're looking to invest in property in Swansea and would like some free advice on the best locations, please do not hesitate to book in to see one of our local Lettings experts. Give them Team a call on 01792 430100.

 

Other news in the Rightmove 2017 Forecast:

  • In 2017, Rightmove forecasts asking rent rises of 4% outside London, driven by less availability of rental stock, resulting in upwards price pressures for tenants.
  • Asking rents rose 3% annually outside London in 2016, with the highest growth by region recorded in Yorkshire and the Humber, and the North West.
  • London recorded an annual price fall of 4.4%, which was most marked in Inner London.
  • With margins under pressure due to imminent tax changes in 2017, buy to let investors could look to towns in Merseyside and Lancashire which dominate the best yields currently on offer.

 

Rightmove's Head of Lettings Sam Mitchell says 'This year will be one of caution for buy-to-let investors due to tighter lending criteria and increased stamp duty. We definitely won't see the spike in Q1 purchases that we saw last year as landlords rushed to buy before last April's new stamp duty deadline. If the tax changes being phased in from this April lead to even fewer buy-to-let purchases and some landlords deciding to sell, then a tightening of supply in some areas will lead to increasing rents. We forecast that asking rents could rise by 4% outside London by the end of 2017, though in London, prices are likely to stay flat.'

 

To read the full rental trends report, click here.

 

Sources: Rightmove Rental Price TrackerBBC Wales



Swansea Property Market Post Brexit

In late May 2016, the Chancellor George Osborne predicted that if the UK voted to leave the EU, house prices would fall by 10% by the middle of 2018. Eight months on from the Referendum, are we beginning to show signs of that prediction coming true?

 

UK Builders and Inflation

Builders act as a good barometer for the housing market in the UK. In the two weeks following the Referendum, both Barratt and Taylor Wimpey saw their share prices fall (by 42.5%, and 37.9% respectively).

 

Looking at the most recent set of data from the Land Registry, property values in Swansea are only 0.14% up month on month (and the month before that, they had decreased by 0.59%).

 

To make matters worse, as the value of the pound decreased in the wake of the Referendum, inflation is expected to rise – potentially as high as 3%, if not higher. If this happens, the Bank of England could raise interest rates from 0.25% to 2%.

 

So is it time to panic and run for the hills?

 

Well, no. As I mention to all my investor landlords, property is all about the long term plan, and looking at it in the short term doesn't work anymore. The days of property in Swansea rising 10% year on year (when I was a sprightly 20-something junior negotiator on Walter Road) are long gone.

 

Values in Swansea

Regardless, property values in Swansea are still 3.5% higher than a year ago, meaning the average value of a Swansea property today is &164,600.

 

The Swansea housing market has been steadfast partly because, so far at least, the wider economy has performed better than expected since Brexit. Despite the initial set back, share prices in both Barratt and Taylor Wimpey had recovered by July.

 

Unemployment

Unemployment in the Swansea City and County Council area stands at 6,300 people (5.3%), which is considerably better than in 2012, for example, when there were 10,100 people unemployed (9.4%) in the same council area.

 

The threat of Brexit and increasing inflation aside, the greatest risk to the Swansea housing market – and the British housing market beyond – is that there are simply not enough properties being built, which keeps house prices artificially high. That might be good news for those on the property ladder, but not for those first-time buyers who, instead, will continue to need to rent good quality properties in Swansea.

 

If you'd like to discuss any of the issues raised in this article, and/or find out how much your property might be worth on the rental market in 2017, please feel free to pop in the office. 

 

Source: Land Registry / Zoopla House Price Report



What does 2017 hold in store for Swansea Landlords?

It's probably fair to say that 2016 was something of an 'annus horribilis' for landlords in Swansea, with the introduction of the 3% stamp duty surcharge, scrapping of the 10% ‘wear and tear’ tax relief, and the start of Landlord licensing through Rent Smart Wales. 

 

As a landlord myself, it felt like we were being dealt blow after blow by the Government to push us out of the market, and 2017 is looking like it may be just as bumpy with the start of mortgage tax relief being phased out and the tightening of criteria on BTL lending. 

 

Many landlords have decided the future landscape of buy to let is not for them anymore, but there will be many opportunities coming our way, too.

 

Supply

The estate agency Haart recently reported that the volume of buy-to-let transactions across England and Wales had more than halved over the past 12 months, following the Government’s outright assault on buy-to-let landlords.

 

At McCartan Lettings, we have been seeing/been noticing a rise in Landlords deciding to sell year on year, leaving a huge gap in stock availability. Rents have started to rise, in part in line with the rest of the UK and in part down to a lack of stock.

 

Landlords who are still positive about investing in Swansea can benefit from higher rents, better yields, and from other landlords selling their investment properties. 

 

Demand

Analysis published by accountancy firm PwC suggests that by 2025, 7.2m households would be in rented accommodation – a considerable increase compared with 5.4m in 2015 and 2.3m in 2001. 

 

It predicted that a quarter of those tenants would be living in private rented accommodation, reflecting the fact that the private sector has taken over from councils and housing associations as the biggest provider of rented homes in the UK. 

 

With employment on the rise in Swansea, and with its enormous potential for further development (Tidal lagoon, Parc Tawe and the Civic Centre to name a few projects on the cards), it is clear that demand for quality professional family homes is and will continue to be on the rise. 

 

Capital growth

House prices in Swansea grew by 1.9%, an average of just over &2,500, which suggests that house prices could rise further in 2017, so investment property is priced very attractively at the moment for better yields as rents have risen, with future capital growth on the cards too. 

 

As interest rates are at a record low, landlords investing in Swansea should focus on maximising their profit by focusing on investing in areas of growth (Manselton, Morriston), and looking at areas in demand (Uplands, Killay). Now might also be the time to look at your mortgage, and shop around to see if you could benefit from a better deal.

 

If you are thinking about investing in Swansea in 2017, or need assistance letting a property, please give me a call on 01792 430100 and I will be happy to help in offering my experience of the Swansea property market and buying property to let.

 

Sources: Estate Agent Today / UK House Price Index Wales



Case Study: Advising on Buy-to-Let

Back in June last year (whilst heavily pregnant), I was approached by one of our landlords to help look for a second investment property for him and his wife.

 

There are no surprises to those of you who know me as to how excited I was to receive an email full of links to property brochures, a welcome distraction to waiting for our son to arrive!

 

The brochures showed properties ranging from &95,000 to &135,000, covering Fforestfach, Llangyfelach, Gowerton and, more centrally, Swansea Marina.

 

There were lots of pros and cons to each property, but the first thing we look at was yield: what could each property achieve in the current market, and based on the purchase price (reduced by &5,000, to reflect an offer being accepted), what would the yield be?

 

From there, we looked at supply and demand in the area, and what type of tenant each would suit. We looked at the location in terms of what that prospective tenant needs and wants were, and then weighed up which property would be best suited to what the landlord wanted to achieve from his property investment.

 

Yield vs Capital Growth

The highest yielding property was in Fforestfach. Being close to the retail park and the main arteries into the city and the M4 for work, it lent itself well to the young renters market, but as it wasn’t in the nicest of locations, there wouldn’t be much by way of capital growth on the property.

 

In my experience, the location also tends to attract a lot of housing benefit enquiries, which this landlord wasn’t interested in.

 

The second was a property in Llangyfelach; though more expensive to buy in this location, the rent would also be higher, so it came in at a reasonable 6.2% yield. We felt that this property would hold its value due to the level of professional employment in the area and its proximity to the M4, DVLA,  and Morriston Hospital.

 

The 2 bedroom property in Gowerton came in with the lowest yield at 5.8%. The location was very family-friendly, and a new primary school in the area would boost its desirability, but we concluded that most families would probably prefer a 3 bedroom house instead of 2 (which this one and all the others we had considered so far were).  

 

I was familiar with this particular estate, too, and knew it was leasehold, which is not ideal when purchasing a house as it affects future values, and the charges associated could increase without warning.

 

Wild Card

The wild card amongst the pack was a really lovely looking apartment in Swansea Marina with a great aspect-yielding potential of 7.57%!

 

It seemed too good to be true, and on closer inspection and thought, we realized we needed to factor in the high service charge that apartments in the Marina have. After wiping off an estimated &100pcm for the service charge, the yield dropped to 6.3%.

 

But there was more to consider here:  ideally the flat should be furnished, which raises more issues. There would be, of course, the initial outlay for the furniture, without the benefit of the 10% wear and tear allowance offset against tax, which has now been removed.  Council tax at the full rate and on a daily basis would be due for each day the property was not tenanted, and furnished properties also have a tendency to have a higher turnover of tenancies.

 

Finally, the listing didn't mention parking. Flats in Swansea Marina without allocated or permit parking have proven very difficult to rent, in my experience.

 

The Decision

The landlord decided to pursue the property in the Llangyfelach area, and was delighted when a cheeky offer was surprisingly accepted, (I always recommend going in lower than you think is reasonable as you never know!), increasing their yield to close to 6.5%.

 

The property was in excellent condition, and only required light cleaning and redecoration before it went on the market to let.  Within 24 hours of it being marketed, viewings had taken place, and it had been let, in principle, to the first viewer. A professional, she fitted the landlord’s requirements exactly, and is all set to be moving into the property next week.

 

     

 

If you are looking to invest in Swansea, why not pick my brain for free and benefit from my experience of the Swansea letting market and where the best places to buy for you are!



Buy-to-Let Deal of the Month

With a fresh year ahead, I've taken the time to look at what’s available on the market for sale in Swansea that could be of interest to investors.

 

2 bedroom converted ground floor flat, Uplands

(click here to view the brochure)

 

Yield: 6.9%

Great for:  professional couple or sharers, close to transport links for work, leisure and amenities

Things to consider: leasehold and associated charges

 

What stands out about this property is its proximity to the shops, wine bars and restaurants in Uplands, as well as the University, Singleton Hospital, and the city centre. Lots of professionals are opting to share in this area to save on the costs of living alone, and flats like these are proving hugely popular.

 

2 bedroom terraced House, Manselton

(click here to view the brochure)

 

Yield: 7.5% (not taking account renovation costs)

Great for: easy access to the M4 and the city, generally a popular area for tenants

Things to consider: older property may require more work than budgeted for, and may be more expensive in terms of maintenance costs in the long term

 

Having lived there in the past, Manselton is a firm favorite of mine, and I know the area pretty well. Manselton consistently proves to be a popular location for professional couples and families due to its proximity to two main arteries into and out of the city, whilst being only a 20 minute walk into the city centre.

 

2 bedroom new build, SA1

(click here to view the brochure)

 

Yield: 6%

Great for: professional couples and families

Things to consider: lower yield

 

Modern properties are always popular with tenants, as they shouldn’t have any ‘hidden nasties’ and provide an easy way of living. This is the same for landlords, as the maintenance on a modern property should be less than for a typical mid-terrace, for instance. The Cockett development is great for professionals needing good access to the M4 and the west of Swansea, such as Singleton or the Universities, but is also a nice, quiet, family-orientated estate.

 

Having an insight into the property market in Swansea can mean the difference between a good investment and a costly one. Another reason to keep in touch and let me know what you are looking at in 2017! 




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